13-45 Lily Agnes Stakes 2021
The Lily Agnes Stakes is the first race on the first day of the Boodles May Festival at Chester Racecourse. It is limited to 2-year-olds and takes place over 5 furlongs.
Lily Agnes Stakes 10-Year-Trends 2021
Eight of the last ten winners of the Lily Agnes Stakes have been drawn in either stalls two, three, four, or five. Despite Chester’s typical bias towards low-drawn runners, none of the winners in the last decade have been drawn in stall one.
All ten winners had run once or twice, and between nine and 39 days earlier, while seven winners had won their previous race. Eight winners were returned at odds of 9/2 (5.50) or less. Tom Dascombe (two) and David O’Meara (one) are the only trainers with runners this year to have won the race in the last ten years.
Who Will Win The Lily Agnes Stakes 2021?
Mojomaker looks the least likely winner, as he makes his racecourse debut from stall seven. Fair and Square is also drawn wider than ideal in stall six and has yet to win a race. Navello has won twice but has raced three times and is drawn in stall one.
The other four runners all comply with the main statistics. Devious Angel is trained by Tom Dascombe, but his win came on the slow all-weather surface at Southwell after an average first-time-out performance on turf.
The remaining trio all travelled strongly before winning last time, but Beauzon (trained by David O’Meara) was winning on his second start. Plenty of previous winners of the Lily Agnes have similar profiles, but the other two may have more improvement to come after winning their only starts so far.
Lucy Lulu won at Doncaster on debut, but it could be significant that she just pipped a Richard Hannon-trained runner that day when receiving 10lb.
Armor also hails from the Richard Hannon stable and, as Hannon has that form-line to use as a guide, it’s interesting that he sends this well-bred colt into battle, as he only concedes 5lb to the filly. Ryan Moore was also a positive booking on debut and maintains the partnership.
Free Lily Agnes Stakes 2021 Tip
14.15 Cheshire Oaks 2021
The Cheshire Oaks is limited to 3-year-old fillies, and it is run over a 1 mile 3 furlongs and 75 yards, making it an important trial for the Epsom Oaks.
Cheshire Oaks 10-Year-Trends 2021
The last ten editions of the Cheshire Oaks have all featured seven or more runners. Four winners have been drawn in stalls one, two, or three, but six winners have come from stalls six, seven, and eight.
Experience varies between one run and six runs, though no winner had won more than twice before winning the Cheshire Oaks. All ten winners had run between six and 28 days before winning.
Aidan O’Brien (four winners) and John Gosden (three winners) have excellent records in the race, while Roger Varian and Mark Johnston have also won the race in the last ten years. Ryan Moore has also ridden four of the last nine winners. Seven winners were returned at 3/1 (4.00) or less, but there have also been winners at 9/1 (10.00), 16/1 (17.00), and 50/1 (51.00).
Who Will Win The Cheshire Oaks 2021?
Seven runners are set to go to post for the 2021 Cheshire Oaks and Ahandfulofsummers, Darlectable You, and La Jaconde are all trying to win the race as maidens.
The early market-leader Zeyaadah represents Roger Varian, but she’s already won all three of her starts and is yet to race so far this season. The Mark Johnston-trained Dubai Fountain has achieved the highest rating, but also makes her seasonal debut, as does the Ryan Moore-ridden Nicest for Aidan O’Brien’s son Donnacha.
As all six of the other runners don’t comply with at least one of the major statistics, it’s worth taking a chance on the not obviously fancied Quenelle D’or. Hugo Palmer’s daughter of Golden Horn made all to win over a similar trip at Kempton 26 days ago and looks nicely drawn to adopt those tactics again from stall one.
Free Cheshire Oaks 2021 Tip
15.15 – Chester Vase Stakes 2021
The Chester Vase Stakes takes place over 1 mile 4 furlongs and 63 yards, and it is a recognised trial for the Epsom Derby.
Chester Vase Stakes 10-Year-Trends 2021
Nine of the last ten winners of the Chester Vase Stakes have been drawn in stall one to five. All ten winners had won at least once before their success in the race, with eight having run no more than three times. Three winners were making their seasonal debut, but the last five had all had a prep run.
Aidan O’Brien has saddled seven of the last ten editions, with Ryan Moore riding six of those winners. All ten winners in the last decade were returned at 8/1 (9.00) or less, with seven winners returned at odds of 7/2 (4.50) or lower.
Who Will Win The Chester Vase Stakes 2021?
Five of the eight runners due to line up in the Chester Vase Stakes 2021 are trained in England, but Richard Hannon, John Gosden, Roger Charlton, Charlie Appleby, or Andrew Balding haven’t recorded a win between them in this race this century.
Despite their trainers’ poor records in the race, Wirko, Youth Spirit, Pleasant Man, Law Of The Sea, and Fancy Man are all promising types that could improve markedly for stepping up to middle distances. The home contingent will also be more hopeful after Aidan O’Brien’s colts all underperformed in the 2,000 Guineas last week.
However, if you’re following the trends for the Chester Vase Stakes, it’s impossible to look beyond Sir Lamoral who represents the formidable combination of Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore.