Day three of Royal Ascot is Gold Cup Day. Check out our trends, analysis, and free Royal Ascot day three 2021 tips:
15.05 – Hampton Court Stakes 2021
The Hampton Court Stakes is a Group 3 run over 1 mile 1 furlong and 212 yards that is restricted to horses aged three.
Hampton Court Stakes Trends 2021
Nine of the last ten winners of the Hampton Court Stakes have been drawn between stalls six and 12, with the other drawn in stall two. All ten winners had run between 12 and 49 days earlier, with four winning their prep race. No winners have carried a penalty in the last decade.
Ryan Moore has ridden three of the last two winners, while Frankie Dettori and William Buick have ridden two. The last eight winners have been returned at odds of 13/2 or less.
Who Will Win The Hampton Court Stakes 2021?
One Ruler brings plenty of class into this Group 3 after finishing sixth in the 2,000 Guineas and Derby but he carries a 4lb penalty and is drawn in stall one.
Aidan O’Brien saddles two runners, with Roman Empire the pick of Ryan Moore. Used as a pacemaker in the Dante, it will be disappointing if he’s good enough to take this now he runs on his own merits.
Movin Time is an unknown quantity after just three runs, and his easy win on turf last time has been boosted by the runner-up since.
Mohaafeth will take a lot of beating though, as he relished the fast conditions when disposing of a 107-rated rival in fine style to win a Listed race last time.
Hampton Court Stakes Tip
15.40 – Ribblesdale Stakes 2021
The Ribblesdale Stakes is a Group 2 race run over 1 mile 3 furlongs and 211 yards that is restricted to 3-year-old fillies.
Ribblesdale Stakes Trends 2021
Nine of the last ten winners of the Ribblesdale Stakes were drawn between stalls one and six. All ten winners had run between four and 46 days earlier and five of those had won their prep race.
John Gosden and Aidan O’Brien have both saddled three winners in the last decade, with Ryan Moore riding three winners and Frankie Dettori riding two. The last ten winners have been returned at odds ranging from 11/8 to 10/1.
Who Will Win The Ribblesdale Stakes 2021?
Sir Michael Stoute last saddled a winner of the Ribblesdale Stakes in 2003 but looks to have a decent chance with Noon Star. Second to the subsequent winner Snowfall at York, this daughter of Galileo and Midday is bred to relish this longer trip. The negative is she’s drawn in stall eight.
Snowfalls’ trainer Aidan O’Brien puts his faith in the Oaks third Divinely this time, and she could go close from stall six. Dubai Fountain was well beaten in the Oaks but, after not handling the track at Epsom, she could also be a danger.
John Gosden has trained three of the last four winners of this race and saddles a trio of challengers this time. Taslima and Loving Dream could both go well but are drawn in stalls nine and 12.
Gloria Mundi looks to have been aimed at this race all season and, though she was just touched off by the re-opposing Eshaada last time, Frankie Dettori’s mount looks to be better drawn today and is fancied to exact her revenge.
Ribblesdale Stakes Tip 202116.15 – Gold Cup
The Gold Cup is a Group 1 race run over 2 miles 3 furlongs and 210 yards and horses aged four and older may run in the race.
Gold Cup Trends 2021
The last ten editions of the Gold Cup have been won by six 4-year-olds, two 5-year-olds, and two 6-year-olds. Seven of those ten winners have been drawn in between stalls two and seven but the other three came out of stalls ten, 13, and 14.
The last ten winners had all had at least one prep run, with eight of those runs being winning ones. Aidan O’Brien and John Gosden have bot trained three of the last ten winners. Gosden’s three wins have all been with Stradivarius, while O’Brien has saddled three different winners. Frankie Dettori has ridden four of the last nine winners and Ryan Moore two of the last eight.
Seven of the last ten favourites have won, while Trip To Paris at 12/1 is the only winner in the last decade to be returned at odds bigger than 6/1.
Who Will Win the Ascot Gold Cup 2021?
All eyes will be on Stradivarius, as John Gosden’s 7-year-old bids to emulate Yeats by winning four Gold Cups. If you’re looking to take on Stradivarius, then the only horses older than six to win the Gold Cup since the war are the famous duo of Drum Taps and Yeats, but Stradivarius won his prep race and is always primed to peak on this day. He also has his preferred fast ground this year, so there will be no excuses if he’s beaten.
If you’re thinking of playing each-way against the favourite, Stradivarius faces some interesting new challengers. Mark Johnston, trainer of Gold Cup hero Double Trigger, thinks Subjectivist is his best chance since and he could relish the distance of the Gold Cup.
Trueshan also produced a career best when stepped up to two miles last season and ran okay back over shorter on his seasonal debut. He’s another that could relish the trip, but connections have said they would have preferred softer ground.
We also have the 2020 Derby winner Serpentine. He’s not won since his Epsom triumph, but he has plenty of class if he can stretch his stamina over one mile further than he’s run over before. Santiago also represents Aidan O’Brien. Impressive in winning the Queen’s Vase at last year’s Royal Ascot meeting, he’s another that could relish this stamina test.
But with horse racing desperately needing its crowd favourites, Stradivarius is taken to create history with a fourth Gold Cup win.
Gold Cup Tip