Featured in this article:
- UFC 262 in Houston, Texas will be the second pay-per-view with fans
- Charles Oliveira is favored over Michael Chandler for the vacant lightweight title
- Tony Ferguson is an underdog against Beneil Dariush at 155 poinds
- Katlyn Chookagian is favored over Viviane Araujo at women’s flyweight
- You can watch on ESPN+ and pay-per-view
UFC 262 lost a big matchup as the welterweight scrap between Leon Edwards and Nate Diaz was pulled due to an injury to Diaz. That will be pushed to UFC 263. However, there is still a huge matchup headlining the card as Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler clash for the vacant lightweight championship. So, let’s check out the UFC 262 odds for the main event, and two other bouts from the main card. We’ll have betting picks on our blog next Thursday, May 14.
UFC 262 will be held at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. It will also be held with fans, which definitely made a difference at UFC 261 in Jacksonville, Florida.
You can watch UFC 262, starting with the early prelims on ESPN+ at 6:15 PM ET. Then, the prelims start at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN. Finally, the pay-per-view starts at 10:00 PM ET, either through your cable provider or ESPN+.
All MMA betting odds courtesy of Bovada.
Charles Oliveira (-130) vs. Michael Chandler (+110) – Vacant Lightweight Title Bout
This is an interesting choice as Oliveira (30-8, 1 NC) and Chandler (22-5) are ranked third and fourth, respectively, in the UFC rankings. Dustin Poirier is the #1 contender now that Khabib Nurmagomedov is officially retired, and he was an interim lightweight champion. Conor McGregor is a former two-weight champion and the biggest PPV draw in the UFC, yet McGregor and Poirier are fighting in July at UFC 264 after their second fight at UFC 257 in January, and it hasn’t been announced, but the winner of the McGregor/Poirier trilogy will likely face the winner of Oliveira/Chandler later this year.
Oliveira is the UFC betting favorite according to the UFC 264 odds. This is largely because UFC fans have seen him win eight in a row. Seven of those were stoppages, and his last fight was a dominant unanimous decision over former 155-pound interim champion Tony Ferguson, one of the toughest fighters in the business. However, Oliveira outstruck Ferguson by a wide margin. He took him down at well, almost getting a submission in the first round. Oliveira has really improved his striking, but he is a beast on the mat with a third-degree black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.
Chandler made his name in Bellator, where he was a three-time lightweight champion and winner of the Season 4 lightweight tournament. MMA fans know him well. But Chandler announced his name to casual UFC fans with a first-round TKO win over Dan Hooker at UFC 257. He is a very strong wrestler with KO power in his hands. His takedown defense is going to be key to his UFC 262 odds, however. Oliveira is incredible on the mat. While Ferguson held him off, Chandler doesn’t have the jiu-jitsu skills that Ferguson does.
Tony Ferguson (+120) vs. Beneil Dariush (-145) – Lightweight
Ferguson (25-5) has taken hellacious beatings in back-to-back losses to Justin Gaethje and Oliveira. This is the first time that he has lost two in a row. He has had some bad luck in his career as Ferguson was supposed to fight Nurmagomedov five times, but injuries on either side ruined what would have probably been a title fight at some point. Dariush (20-4-1) has rebounded from a stretch where he was knocked out twice, along with a draw. He has since won six in a row with four finishes.
The UFC 262 odds for this match are based on current form. If you look at track records, Ferguson should be favored. However, the beatings he has taken in his last two fights has surely taken a toll on him. That sets up well for Dariush, who might not have been able to handle prime Ferguson, but he should be the favorite for this fight.
Katlyn Chookagian (-145) vs. Viviane Araujo (+120) – Women’s Flyweight
Chookagian (15-4) is the #2 contender in the women’s flyweight division behind Jessica Andrade, who beat Chookagian with a body punch in October. Araujo (10-2) is five spots lower in the rankings after two straight wins, and even though she started out as a jiu-jitsu artist and has a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, she is also a very good striker. Aruajo also has excellent takedown defense, as Roxanne Modafferi found out as Aruajo stuffed all five of her attempts in January.
Chookagian probably won’t try and take Araujo to the mat as the Brazilian is much better on the ground. This is a dangerous fight for Chookagian, who has lost to champion Valentina Shevchenko, Andrade and Jessica Eye. Those are some high-level fighters to lose to. Is Aruajo on that level yet? We’ll see at UFC 262.